Nvidia Stock Earnings Preview: What to Expect from the AI Giant on Nov 19th

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Aadi Bihani

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Nvidia Stock Earnings Preview: What to Expect from the AI Giant on Nov 19th
Table Of Contents
  • What to Expect from NVIDIA: Numbers, Narratives and Nuances
  • What to Look Out For with NVDA Stock: The Fine Print that Moves Markets
  • Analysts and Street Sentiment on Nvidia: Bullish With a Side of Caution
  • Final Thought: Celebrate the ‘Wow’ But Watch the ‘Now’

When a company becomes the buzzword in every boardroom and trading terminal, you know the stakes are high. That’s exactly the scene with NVIDIA Corporation ahead of its Q3 FY2026 earnings report on 19 November. It isn’t just another tech-giant reveal; this one has “AI epoch” written all over it, with the market watching whether NVIDIA can deliver a blockbuster encore or show cracks in the fast-moving hype. From the hum of hyperscale data-centres to whispers of “what’s next after Blackwell,” this earnings call may tell us more than a mere number; it might hint at the shape of the AI infrastructure era.

Let’s break down with this blog why this matters, what to expect, what could go sideways, and how investors can read what’s about to come.

What to Expect from NVIDIA: Numbers, Narratives and Nuances

NVIDIA is scheduled to report its Q3 of fiscal year 2026 (ending 31 October 2025) after markets close on 19 November.

Here’s the rundown of expectations:

  • Revenue of about $54 billion (±2%) is the consensus floated by analysts, pointing to ~50-60 % YoY growth.
  • EPS (adjusted) expected around $1.25 per share, up ~54 % YoY.
  • Gross margin guidance near ~73% (GAAP) as manufacturing of its next-gen chips rises.
  • Key driver: the ramp of the new “Blackwell” architecture (seen as the AI engine of the moment) into data-centres.

The company has beaten the Wall Street expectations of 19 of the past 21 quarters. Now that kind of track-record adds a “must-deliver” vibe to this release.

What to Look Out For with NVDA Stock: The Fine Print that Moves Markets

When a company like NVIDIA is already in the spotlight, the surprises often live in the detail. Here’s what to keep tabs on:

  • Blackwell architecture ramp: The market wants updates on production volumes, shipment timing and customer traction for Blackwell. Any signs of supply-chain drag or customer delays will draw attention.
  • Data-centre vs. gaming mix: While gaming remains important, data-centre business is now the main engine. Insights into how fast inference usage (not just training) is growing will offer clues about sustainability.
  • Margin trends and mix effects: As new chips ramp, margin risk creeps in (higher fixed cost, new yields). The guidance on margin will matter almost as much as the revenue number.
  • China exposure and export controls: Since NVIDIA has flagged the China H2O chip impairment earlier and faces export-regulation headwinds, any update on non-US markets will be watched closely.
  • Next-quarter guidance: The Q3 results will likely be good, but the market often cares more about how the company frames Q4 and FY27. Is demand decelerating, stable or accelerating?
  • Macro and valuation context: With NVIDIA stock already having run up, much of the good news is priced in.

Analysts and Street Sentiment on Nvidia: Bullish With a Side of Caution

Wall Street remains broadly bullish, but there’s a hint of “priced for perfection” anxiety. Some notes:

  • According to Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore: raised target to ~$220 and expects “the strongest result seen in the last few quarters.”
  • Another note: options market implies a ±8.5% move up or down post-earnings, meaning the expected move is big but the risk of disappointment is also real.

For investors, domestic and global alike, watching NVIDIA, the core sentiment is: the growth story remains intact (AI infrastructure build-out, chip moats, ecosystem lock-in) but the bar is very high now.

Final Thought: Celebrate the ‘Wow’ But Watch the ‘Now’

If NVIDIA nails numbers and guidance, it’s not just a beat, it reinforces the narrative that AI infrastructure is still ramping. But if the company simply meets expectations or offers cautious commentary, the market may respond with muted enthusiasm.

For investors who’ve been cheering from the stands, this earnings release is a live test of the “AI build-out” theme. The bigger lesson may not be just the revenue line, but what management says about the next leg of growth, and whether the market’s optimism remains grounded in reality.

So buckle up. Whether it’s a “Blackwell blast-off” or a “growth gets grounded” scenario, 19 November could bring a meaningful inflection point for NVIDIA and for how we think about the AI-dominated future of tech investing.

Disclaimer:

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