Cisco Stock Rockets on Earnings Beat and Strong Guidance

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Aadi Bihani

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Cisco Stock Rockets on Earnings Beat and Strong Guidance
Table Of Contents
  • Earnings Snapshot: Cisco’s Q1 FY2026
  • Why the Rise in CSCO Stock?
  • What to Watch with Cisco?
  • Final Take on Cisco

If you thought Cisco Systems, Inc. (ticker CSCO) was merely plumbing the backbone of the internet, think again; the company just super-charged its role in the age of artificial intelligence. With a clean earnings beat in its first quarter of fiscal 2026 and guidance that points toward full-year strength, Cisco is no longer just a switch and router maker; it’s becoming the gatekeeper of the AI infrastructure wave.

Let’s break down with this blog what exactly catalysed this leap, what the numbers say and where investors in India and globally should keep their eyes trained.

Earnings Snapshot: Cisco’s Q1 FY2026

MetricQ1 FY26YoY change
Revenue$14.9 billion+8%
GAAP EPS$0.72 per share+6%
Non-GAAP EPS$1.00 per share+10%
AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers$1.3 billion-

Source: Cisco’s Q1 Earnings Release

Cisco’s Guidance

MetricNumber
Q2 revenue guidance$15.0-15.2 billion
FY 2026 revenue guidance$60.2-61.0 billion

Source: Cisco’s Q1 Earnings Release

Cisco’s Q1 appeared to check all the right boxes. Revenue rose 8% to $14.9 billion, and non-GAAP earnings grew 10% on a year-ago basis, hitting US$1.00 a share which is comfortably above the high end of its own guidance. The strong product orders (up 13%) and the sizeable AI-infrastructure chunk ($1.3 billion) underlines how Cisco is riding the infrastructure upgrade wave tied to AI and networking refresh cycles. 

The company not only beat the quarter but backed that by guiding for a healthy Q2 and full-year, signalling more than just one-off strength.

Why the Rise in CSCO Stock?

Cisco shares vaulted in reaction to the results. The stock closed up about 3.14 % on the earnings day and extended gains further into pre-market trading, up over 7% as per Google Finance, reflecting the market’s enthusiasm.

Several key drivers underpin this move:

  • AI infrastructure orders: The $1.3 billion from hyperscalers signals Cisco is gaining traction in a hot segment; the build-out of next-gen data-centres, networking fabric for AI workloads, and optical systems.
  • Networking refresh cycle: Cisco highlighted that campus networks (switches, wireless, IoT) are in the midst of a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar refresh. That hints at a structural tailwind rather than just a cyclical bump.
  • Margin and operating leverage improvement: Non-GAAP operating margin of 34.4% which exceeded expectations, showing Cisco is not just growing but doing so profitably.
  • Strong guidance: The forward-guide for Q2 and full year being above many estimates gives comfort to investors that this is more than a flash in the pan.

What to Watch with Cisco?

  • Security & collaboration segments: While networking jumped ~15% YoY, Cisco flagged declines in security (-2%) and collaboration (-3%) in Q1. These remain weaker spots that must be watched.
  • Supply-chain / input cost headwinds: With higher demand for optics, silicon and AI-gear, component constraints or tariff impacts could bite. Cisco notes these risks in its guidance commentary.
  • Analyst expectations: Brokers such as UBS have upgraded Cisco, pointing to a conservative base-case for growth ~6 % in FY 26 driven by AI orders.
  • Capital return / dividend: Cisco returned $3.6 billion to shareholders in Q1 through buy-backs and dividends. That matters for income-oriented investors eyeing large global tech names.

Final Take on Cisco

If Cisco were a character in a movie, it might have started as the steady, behind-the-scenes supporting actor in networking, but in Q1 FY26 it stepped into the spotlight. The AI-driven upgrade cycle, global refresh of networks, and the company’s execution all converged, propelling both the numbers and investor sentiment. For Indian and global investors alike, Cisco presents a story of exposure to the AI-infrastructure boom, combined with the relative stability of a mature hardware/software player.

That said, the “wow” factor may taper as strong results raise the bar for future quarters. The declines in some non-core segments, supply risks and intense global competition are real considerations. For long-term investors, this may be less about a quick trade and more about a theme: one where networking hardware, software, optics and AI infrastructure all converge.

Watch the next quarter carefully for signs of whether the momentum continues, and whether Cisco can convert its growing order pipeline into sustained margin expansion.

In short: Cisco just proved it can dance well when the spotlight hits the AI-infrastructure stage. Now the question is whether it can keep the rhythm up for the full performance.

Disclaimer:

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